{"id":43046,"date":"2023-10-08T14:02:08","date_gmt":"2023-10-08T21:02:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/?p=43046"},"modified":"2023-10-09T15:26:31","modified_gmt":"2023-10-09T22:26:31","slug":"the-50th-anniversary-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/?p=43046","title":{"rendered":"The 50th Anniversary War"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VDHanson\"><b>Victor Davis Hanson<\/b><b><\/b><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p4\"><span class=\"s2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VDHanson\">@VDHanson<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p5\"><span class=\"s4\"><b>Follow<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">A 50th Anniversary War?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">Why did Hamas stage a long-planned, carefully executed and multifaceted attack on Israeli towns, soldiers, and civilians\u2014one designed to instill terror by executing noncombatants, taking hostages, and desecrating the bodies of the dead?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">And how were the killers able to enter Israeli proper in enough numbers to kill what could be hundreds and perhaps eventually wound what could be thousands?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">a) Ostensibly, radical Palestinians wanted to stop any rumored rapprochement between the Gulf monarchies\u2014the traditional source of much of their cash\u2014and Israel, by forcing the issue of Arab solidarity in times of \u201cwar\u201d, especially through waging a gruesome attack aimed at civilians and encompassing executions and hostage taking. Iran likely was the driving force to prompt the war\u2014given its greatest fear is a Sunni Arab-Israeli rapprochement.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">b)\u00a0 Arab forces have had only success against Israel through surprise attacks during Israeli holidays, as in the Yom Kippur War (i.e., was it any accident that the present attack began 50-years almost to the day after the October 6, 1973 beginning of the Yom Kippur War?). And so they struck again this Saturday during Simchat Torah, coming at the end of a weeklong Jewish celebration of Sukkot\u2014in hopes that others will join in as happened in 1973. (So much for the Arab warnings not for Westerners to conduct war during Ramadan).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">c) Hamas may have reckoned that recent Israeli turmoil and mass leftist street protests over proposed reforms of the Israeli Supreme Court had led to permanent internal divisions and thus a climate of domestic distraction if not an erosion of deterrence.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">But, more importantly, in a larger sense the Biden administration has contributed both to the notion that Hamas was a legitimate Middle East player, and to the perception that the U.S. was backing away from its traditional support for Israel\u2014to the delight of Hamas\u2014based on the following inexplicable policies:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">1) In February Secretary of State Blinken had bragged that not only had the Biden administration resumed massive aid to the PLA cancelled by Trump, but cumulatively had transferred $1 billion\u2014even as Palestinian authorities bragged that they would continue to pay bounties to the families of \u201cmartyrs\u201d (i.e., those killed while conducting terrorists attacks against Israel).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">And millions of American dollars also went into Gaza, run by Hamas\u2014despite the Biden administration\u2019s efforts to keep mostly quiet the resumption of such inexplicable support. In this regard, note the current shameful State-Department (\u201cU.S. Office of Palestinian Affairs\u201d) website news release that was posted after today\u2019s attack. It ended with this quite embarrassing, morally equivalent admonition:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">\u201cWe urged all sides to refrain from violence and retaliatory attacks. Terror and violence solve nothing.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">&#8220;All sides?&#8221; &#8220;Refrain from retaliatory attacks?\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">So Israel is the moral equivalent of terrorists executing civilians and brutalizing their corpses? And the IDF then is not supposed to retaliate against these killers?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">This Biden State Department insanity cannot stand. So expect some apparatchik to take down this Munich-like posting as soon as possible.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">2) The Biden administration had recently released some $6 billion to Iran through a prison swap deal that saw South Korea hand over embargoed Iranian money to Qatar\u2014despite Tehran\u2019s\u00a0 increased anti-Israeli rhetoric and its loud brag about the escalation. We should assume money for rockets (Hamas claims they have launched 5,000, and have received 100,000 of them via the Damascus airport) and weapons in general for Hamas were supplied by Iran, which again is likely the chief catalyst for this surprise attack.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">3) Almost immediately, after his inauguration Biden mobilized to resume the bankrupt Iran deal. And in unhinged fashion he appointed the anti-Israeli bigot, pro-Iranian journalist Robert Malley as America\u2019s chief negotiator. Note that Malley is now under FBI investigation for security breaches, involving disclosing classified U.S. documents and also for allegedly helping pro-Iranian activists and propagandists land influential billets inside the U.S. government.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">In short, there was a general Hamas and Iranian perception that the Biden administration had resumed the discredited Obama madness of empowering Iran, Hezbollah, and Hamas. This discredited agenda was to \u201cbalance\u201d the power of Israel and the moderate Arab Gulf governments to achieve \u201ccreative tension\u201d, exacerbated by Biden\u2019s loathing of the government of Benjam\u00edn Netanyahu (who has been snubbed by Biden and never invited for an official visit).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">Note as well that the Biden administration has siphoned off key weapons and munitions from stockpiles inside Israel to transfer them to Ukraine. The so-called \u201cWar Reserve Ammunition\u2014Israel&#8221; is all but depleted of just the sorts of weapons needed in the present crisis.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">In this regard is there not a pattern here?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">Upon the ascension of Biden and his woke military agendas, we saw the following: the complete humiliation of the U.S. in Kabul in its most shameful flight in 50 years and greatest abandonment of equipment in its history; followed by Vladimir Putin\u2019s opportunistic invasion of Ukraine; followed by China\u2019s new belligerence and escalating threats to Taiwan; followed by Turkey\u2019s new de facto alliance with Russia and recent drone encounter with the U.S. air force in Syria; followed by the Hamas\/Iranian inspired attack on Israel\u2014with more to come unfortunately.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">And will Biden finally get the message from the attacks on the Ukraine and Israeli borders, that borders matter and we too are being invaded, with the encouragement of the Mexican government and to the advantage of the cartels whose fentanyl exports kills 100,000 Americans a year?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">What to expect in Israel?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">Expect the following: the usual Hamas\/terrorist selling and\/or execution of Israeli hostages, the use of Israeli hostages as \u201chuman shields\u201d in Gaza,\u00a0 the bargaining\/sale of the remains of Israeli dead, occasional killings of Jews inside Israel by Arabs who falsely believe there will be a winning Middle East-wide existential war against Israel. And finally, a devastating Israeli counter-response that will eventually earn a U.S. rebuke.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p7\"><span class=\"s1\">What should the U.S. instead do?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p9\"><span class=\"s2\">It should quit talking to Iran and restore full sanctions against it. It should cut off all aid immediately to all the Palestinians. It should undertake a 1973-like massive arms lift of key munitions to Israel and warn Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and others in the Middle East not to intervene or else, given that Israel will need several weeks to deal with Hamas and Gaza. And if it shows any hesitation or weakness, other terrorist groups will opportunistically jump in.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p4\"><span class=\"s2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VDHanson\/status\/1710741034320417027\/history\">Last edited<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p4\"><span class=\"s2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VDHanson\/status\/1710741034320417027\/history\">1:37 PM \u00b7 Oct 7, 2023<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Reposted from &#8220;X&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>~Curtis in \/\\\/\\onTana!{=-{&lt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Victor Davis Hanson @VDHanson Follow A 50th Anniversary War? Why did Hamas stage a long-planned, carefully executed and multifaceted attack on Israeli towns, soldiers, and civilians\u2014one designed to instill terror by executing noncombatants, taking hostages, and desecrating the bodies of the dead? And how were the killers able to enter Israeli proper in enough numbers [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43046","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43046","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43046"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43046\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43052,"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43046\/revisions\/43052"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43046"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43046"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.dailylife.barrowroad.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43046"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}